Seeking Alpha Tech•Jan 18, 2026, 12:25 PM

Semiconductor ETF Soars 49% on Pure Hopium, Analysts Predict

The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF, known as SMH, has experienced a significant 49% rally, prompting concerns that the fund is trading on assumptions about earnings persistence. This surge in value has led to scrutiny of the semiconductor industry's ability to sustain its current earnings growth. SMH tracks the performance of 25 of the largest semiconductor companies, including industry giants such as Intel, Taiwan Semiconductor, and Texas Instruments. The rally is largely attributed to the strong demand for semiconductors driven by the growth of emerging technologies like 5G, artificial intelligence, and the Internet of Things. As the industry continues to evolve, investors are closely watching the earnings reports of these companies to determine if the current growth trend can be sustained. With the semiconductor sector being a key driver of the technology industry, the performance of SMH has significant implications for the overall market. The ETF's trading activity is being closely monitored by investors and analysts alike.

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